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The director of the South Korean Police Department and the director of the Seoul Police Department were forbidden to leave the country. On December 10th, local time, the special investigation team of the National Investigation Headquarters under the South Korean Police Department took measures to prohibit the director of the South Korean Police Department Zhao Zhihao and the director of the Seoul Police Department Jin Fengzhi from leaving the country.South Korea's Ministry of Finance: Considering the economic fundamentals, South Korea's exchange rate fluctuates too much.CITIC Securities: Short-term home fundamentals are expected to usher in a window of policy improvement, and we can bargain and seize the opportunity of valuation repair. CITIC Securities recently reported that the situation in the light industry has been severe since 2024, but it still presents three bright spots: channel reconstruction of the personal care industry, internationalization of the tobacco industry and asset integration of the metal packaging industry. The above-mentioned opportunities for subdividing the track are expected to continue and be further strengthened in 2025. Short-term home fundamentals are expected to usher in a policy improvement window, which can be laid out on dips, seize the opportunity of valuation repair, pay attention to industry demand and policy continuity, and attach importance to reasonable valuation intervals. In 2025, the papermaking and paper packaging industries will benefit from the recovery of consumption.

Six Guatemalans were arrested on suspicion of an immigrant truck accident. On December 9, local time, the United States and Guatemala jointly announced that six Guatemalans were arrested. They are suspected of human smuggling and involved in the accident that the vehicle carrying immigrants overturned in Mexico in 2021. The suspect will be charged with conspiracy, endangering life, causing serious personal injury and causing death. In 2021, a truck carrying more than 160 immigrants crashed into a bridge pillar of an overpass in Tustra Gutierrez, the capital of Chiapas in southern Mexico, killing more than 50 people.CITIC Securities' Outlook for OpenAI Release: The commercialization of AI will accelerate again. According to CITIC Securities Research Report, according to its official website, OpenAI announced that it will announce new products and functions for 12 consecutive working days from December 5th. At present, the official version of o1, ChatGPT Pro, enhanced fine-tuning and other functions have been released. We expect that the main directions of subsequent release will include multimodal, Agent and platform tools, AI applications, etc. The main products will include the foresight of important products such as Sora and Operator. At present, the rapid prosperity of model ecology, considering the upgrading of model capabilities and the lowering of industrialization threshold, combined with the application landing forms such as Agent, we expect that the landing of AI applications will continue to accelerate in 2025.Pacific Securities: The historical low of the valuation office of liquor industry is about to be repaired. The Pacific Securities Research Report pointed out that the liquor industry is rationally slowing down, and the valuation office is at a historical low, and it is about to be repaired. Next year, the leading growth target will generally drop to single digits. However, the accumulated inventory risk and pricing pressure still need time to gradually ease after the imbalance between supply and demand has intensified in the past two years and the previous industry bubble has receded. With the economic recovery stimulated by this round of policies and the stabilization of the bottom of the real estate industry, the liquor industry is expected to usher in a wave of recovery. Since 2023, industry differentiation has intensified, but with the improvement of management level and refined channel operation in recent years, excellent wine enterprises have stronger marketing foundation and anti-risk ability compared with previous downward cycles. The price of high-end wine determines the brand position, so the approval price is more important, which depends on the choice of quantity and price and the control of approval price by wine enterprises. Sub-high-end needs to pay more attention to channel risks. The high growth brought by pre-distribution investment needs to be tested in the downward period, and once the channel collapses and stalls, it is difficult to reverse it. Real estate wine pays attention to the growth momentum of internal product structure and the market potential in and around the province. The upgrading speed determines the slope and the ceiling determines the space. Suggested attention: Wuliangye, LU ZHOU LAO JIAO CO.,LTD, Shuijingfang, etc.

The decline in the yield of major inter-bank interest rate bonds has expanded, and the decline in the yield of major inter-bank interest rate bonds has expanded. The yield of 10-year treasury bonds "24 interest-bearing treasury bonds 11" has dropped by 2.5bp to 1.88%, continuing to hit a record low; The yield of 30-year active bond "24 Special Bond 06" went down 3.5bp to 2.0750%.According to documents released by the court, the suspect involved in the killing of the CEO of UNH insurance business was accused of illegal possession of a gun.CITIC Securities: The supply or trend of government bonds will increase, and the subsequent banking system will face certain undertaking pressure. According to the CITIC Securities Research Report, the supply or trend of government bonds will increase in the medium and long term, and the subsequent banking system will face certain undertaking pressure. Under the logic of debt conversion, the continuous issuance of replacement special bonds will reduce the capital occupation of the banking system, but it will also increase the pressure of interest margin on the asset side, which may have a greater impact on small and medium-sized rural commercial banks. In addition, banks undertake a large number of medium and long-term interest-rate bonds or put pressure on their liquidity indicators, but at present, all indicators of state-owned banks have a high margin of safety, and we think the overall impact may be more controllable. At the beginning of next year, we can focus on the influence of small and medium-sized banks' bond buying behavior, or form a certain bullish support for long-term bond interest rates.